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Polling is reaaaally starting to look like Warren could be the nominee
Biden still has the African American vote by a wide margin.
Biden’s biggest problem is the “second choice candidate” polling. Warren is the preferred second choice by a wide margin for Sanders fans and for Harris and Buttigieg followers, and is roughly even with Biden for every other candidate’s voters. When people start dropping out, she’s likely to pick up a lot more followers than he is.
That’s a big part go how Obama flipped his circumstances against Clinton in 08. He was a lot of people’s second choice...she was almost nobody’s.
Joined: Wed January 02, 2013 6:02 am Posts: 9712 Location: Tristes Tropiques
I think the real golden gun is the Sanders-Warren unity ticket.
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VinylGuy wrote:
its really tiresome to see these ¨good guys¨ talking about any political stuff in tv while also being kinda funny and hip and cool....its just...please enough of this shit.
Assuming she can successfully pivot away from the SJW fucktardery required to win the nom, she would be the best option we have right now.
_________________ "The fatal flaw of all revolutionaries is that they know how to tear things down but don't have a f**king clue about how to build anything."
I might be out in left field, but I think Warren has a real opportunity here that is reminiscent of the 1980 election but maybe in exact reverse in terms of ideology. I mean, you have a pretty unpopular president (Trump and we’ll. Carter at the time) with much international turmoil affecting people’s bottom line (trade wars and the oil crisis in the late 70s) and a pretty charismatic candidate looking at a real fundamental policy change that just might stick (Reaganomics and Medicare for All). The former changed the base conversation on politics for good or ill for the next 40 years. The latter will be tested over the next several months. Personally, I do hope that she does pull ahead, and I have been impressed with her campaign after rebounding from its initial roll out.
Joined: Wed January 02, 2013 6:02 am Posts: 9712 Location: Tristes Tropiques
tragabigzanda wrote:
Funny how once a populist message catches hold, it doesn't really just go away because grandpa showed up and started squawking
How do you mean?
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VinylGuy wrote:
its really tiresome to see these ¨good guys¨ talking about any political stuff in tv while also being kinda funny and hip and cool....its just...please enough of this shit.
Funny how once a populist message catches hold, it doesn't really just go away because grandpa showed up and started squawking
Free shit is a powerful message
_________________ "The fatal flaw of all revolutionaries is that they know how to tear things down but don't have a f**king clue about how to build anything."
Joined: Tue September 24, 2013 5:56 pm Posts: 47225 Location: In the oatmeal aisle wearing a Shellac shirt
Mickey wrote:
tragabigzanda wrote:
Funny how once a populist message catches hold, it doesn't really just go away because grandpa showed up and started squawking
How do you mean?
Bi_3 wrote:
Free shit is a powerful message
Sort of what Bi_3 said, but also that Trump came in on a populist message in 2016 (while Bernie's own populist message got sidelined by Wasserman-Schultz). Now both sides are taking their own approach to populism, only the right is calling the left's "socialism," and the left is calling the right's "fascism."
It's still just the same old battle for the soul of the middle class, but the messaging has gotten so fucked and distorted.
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