Red Mosquito • View topic

bune · **Posted:** Wed November 07, 2018 9:15 pm

I feel smarter now for some reason.

Norris · **Posted:** Wed November 07, 2018 10:05 pm

Simple Torture · **Posted:** Wed November 07, 2018 10:06 pm

cutuphalfdead wrote:

I think it's wild that a former governor and a former major-party presidential candidate just won a Senate seat and no one is talking about it.

Also, I didn't watch the video: is the big reveal a dog on the roof?

tragabigzanda · **Posted:** Wed November 07, 2018 10:29 pm

what in the fuck is the deal with mitt romney? that was ridiculous.

bune · **Posted:** Wed November 07, 2018 10:51 pm

Isn't he basically aping a video that Beto did a few days ago? Driving while talking?

McParadigm · **Joined:** Wed January 02, 2013 1:56 am **Posts:** 21835

Moving right along
Footloose and fancy free

Strat · **Posted:** Wed November 07, 2018 11:41 pm

Will he be a new senate swing vote now? Replacing John McCain? or will he fall right in line like the rest of them?

96583UP · **Joined:** Sun September 15, 2013 5:50 am **Posts:** 22323

there won’t be anything to vote on

the 2020 election starts now

Green Habit · **Joined:** Wed December 12, 2012 10:33 pm **Posts:** 6932

Strat wrote:

Will he be a new senate swing vote now? Replacing John McCain? or will he fall right in line like the rest of them?

BurtReynolds · **Posted:** Thu November 08, 2018 12:31 am

At least our elections aren't the only joke in the world

bart · **Joined:** Tue January 08, 2013 10:23 pm **Posts:** 3237

Why are there no headlines that say Sessions Timed Out?

bune · **Posted:** Thu November 08, 2018 12:39 am

durdencommatyler wrote:

I don't think I have the words to express what my heart feels right now for my home, for Kansas. Ad Astra Per Aspera, motherfuckers!

McParadigm · **Joined:** Wed January 02, 2013 1:56 am **Posts:** 21835

bart wrote:

Why are there no headlines that say Sessions Timed Out?

Citizen Kane clapping gif.

McParadigm · **Joined:** Wed January 02, 2013 1:56 am **Posts:** 21835

I fucking hate this guy:

A few days ago, McParadigm wrote wrote:

The world we’re about to enter is likely to be more unstable, and probably more violent, than the one we’re closing up tomorrow.

96583UP · **Joined:** Sun September 15, 2013 5:50 am **Posts:** 22323

i look forward to recount conversations for the next couple months

Rob · **Posted:** Thu November 08, 2018 3:36 pm

Since 2012, when Nate Silver delivered basically a perfect game, I feel like people have taken that type of work too seriously/literally. If you are expecting someone to win based on that type of work, that is your problem. It's a time sensitive snapshot of a range of possibilities, nothing more. It can't capture everything. That said, I think if you are a math person, understand that most people aren't, and have some patience. I feel like Nate has slowly gotten better about this. If you're not a math person, ask someone who is about what this stuff is for. I am fortunate to have a brother wired for math who has helped me with this stuff.

McP wrote:

I honestly think Pelosi isn’t half the problem that Schumer is

Yes Yes Yes. The right wing smear machine has been after Pelosi forever, but she's gotten things done. I can't take Shumer seriously at all.

--- · **Joined:** Tue February 12, 2013 5:03 pm **Posts:** 2401

hey rob

Rob · **Posted:** Thu November 08, 2018 3:56 pm

--- wrote:

hey rob

Hi

I should also add that I think 538 does great work, and if people just listened to their podcast once in a while, lots of things would be cleared up.

run2death · **Posted:** Thu November 08, 2018 3:58 pm

Are we really pretending that Silver's models are some complex codex that the average election/political junky doesn't get?

The question is really about the value you assign to the models.

washing machine · **Posted:** Thu November 08, 2018 4:00 pm

Rob wrote:

--- wrote:

hey rob

Hi

I should also add that I think 538 does great work, and if people just listened to their podcast once in a while, lots of things would be cleared up.

Been sort of following the conversation on the past few pages, but i’ll second this.

The weeks leading up to election 2016 did not give me a good feeling about Hillary’s chances. That was primarily due to Silver and co. highlighting an ever-so-slight movement of the polling data towards Trump.

2018 Midterms

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