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Post subject: Re: The War on Terror /Central Asia/Mid East/Africa thread
Posted: Thu January 09, 2020 7:50 pm
Looks Like a Cat
Joined: Tue January 01, 2013 9:55 pm Posts: 13819 Location: An office full of assholes
durdencommatyler wrote:
Chris_H_2 wrote:
verb_to_trust wrote:
You guys don't find it problematic that it was a Ukrainian airline shot down by weapons the Russians provided to Iran?
i don't think that's anything more than a bad coincidence
"US Officials" disagree
i would be shocked to learn at this stage that us officials think that this was part of a larger operation that specifically targeted the airliner because it was ukrainian
Post subject: Re: The War on Terror /Central Asia/Mid East/Africa thread
Posted: Thu January 09, 2020 9:25 pm
NEVER STOP JAMMING!
Joined: Wed January 02, 2013 1:56 am Posts: 21745
Russia has its hands in literally every facet of middle eastern geopolitical struggle. It would be hard to find a situation where one group in the region targets another for aggression and neither is in some way backed by Russia. Sometimes, both are. It doesn’t mean they’re pushing events at that granular a level.
This seems like exactly the kind of scenario people have in mind when they talk about the importance of communicating with ally states and pre-planning minor scale operations.
Post subject: Re: The War on Terror /Central Asia/Mid East/Africa thread
Posted: Thu January 09, 2020 10:22 pm
Looks Like a Cat
Joined: Wed April 20, 2016 7:11 pm Posts: 14139
tragabigzanda wrote:
just trying to think through the end game of such a play...Would the goal be to put Ukraine into a position where they need military aid? Thereby forcing a showdown between US and Russia on that front?
To remind US military leaders and US regional allies just how vulnerable civilians are by proving they can do it and to appease Russia (and it’s interest in dominating EU energy supplies) by picking a Ukrainian jet. An intentional miss at Erbil demonstrates tactical precision, the plan shoot down shows a willingness to martyr for the cause. Iran killed over 1500 of its citizens during protests last fall so they have no issue slaughtering their own.
_________________ "The fatal flaw of all revolutionaries is that they know how to tear things down but don't have a f**king clue about how to build anything."
Post subject: Re: The War on Terror /Central Asia/Mid East/Africa thread
Posted: Thu January 09, 2020 10:35 pm
The Master
Joined: Tue September 24, 2013 5:56 pm Posts: 46395 Location: In the oatmeal aisle wearing a Shellac shirt
Bi_3 wrote:
tragabigzanda wrote:
just trying to think through the end game of such a play...Would the goal be to put Ukraine into a position where they need military aid? Thereby forcing a showdown between US and Russia on that front?
To remind US military leaders and US regional allies just how vulnerable civilians are by proving they can do it and to appease Russia (and it’s interest in dominating EU energy supplies) by picking a Ukrainian jet. An intentional miss at Erbil demonstrates tactical precision, the plan shoot down shows a willingness to martyr for the cause. Iran killed over 1500 of its citizens during protests last fall so they have no issue slaughtering their own.
Post subject: Re: The War on Terror /Central Asia/Mid East/Africa thread
Posted: Thu January 09, 2020 10:54 pm
NEVER STOP JAMMING!
Joined: Sun September 15, 2013 5:50 am Posts: 22195
WWIII body count so far:
US: 1 contractor
Iran: 1 General + 50 people trampled at his funeral + another 82 shot down by their own military bc it is either incompetent or making a statement so complex only about 8 heads of state worldwide will understand what it means = 133 people
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Post subject: Re: The War on Terror /Central Asia/Mid East/Africa thread
Posted: Thu January 09, 2020 10:56 pm
NEVER STOP JAMMING!
Joined: Sun September 15, 2013 5:50 am Posts: 22195
seriously though - I bet Iran are planning a hard surge by their proxy militias at some point. This is a deliberate de-escalation on the surface but I doubt they are ready to call off the milita dogs quite yet. Maybe they want to lull people to sleep and then strike when everyone has let their guard down. Or maybe sanctions have crippled them and they are a failed state and their inability to manage a funeral and an air defense system without killing their own people serves as evidence of that.
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The massive crowds for his funeral were partly generated by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’s pressure.
Quote:
The Iraqi Parliament voted Sunday 170-0 for a nonbinding resolution calling on the government “to work towards ending the presence of all foreign troops on Iraqi soil,” but more than 150 legislators abstained, including all the Kurds, many Sunnis and even some Shiites. Many Iraqi leaders and ordinary Iraqis, a great number of whom took to the streets recently to protest Iranian meddling, desperately want America to stay. The alternative—Iraq as a Persian satrapy—is anathema, and Iraqi Prime Minister Adel Abdul-Mahdi knows it.
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Post subject: Re: The War on Terror /Central Asia/Mid East/Africa thread
Posted: Fri January 10, 2020 3:33 pm
NEVER STOP JAMMING!
Joined: Sun September 15, 2013 5:50 am Posts: 22195
the prospect of certain GOP senators (i.e. their billionaire constituents) pushing Trump toward war and using the impeachment trial as leverage over him is way more scary to me than an unhinged Trump firing missiles at people for nanny nanny poo poo reasons
that said - if Iran doesn’t meaningfully retaliate and the GOP doesn’t escalate - then nate dogg and warren g don’t need to regulate
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Post subject: Re: The War on Terror /Central Asia/Mid East/Africa thread
Posted: Sat January 11, 2020 8:47 pm
Looks Like a Cat
Joined: Wed April 20, 2016 7:11 pm Posts: 14139
It would be ironic if killing global terrorist mastermind Soleimani united Shiite muslims only to have the subsequent plane shoot down redirect the fury to finally oust the ayatollahs
You know Trump will claim credit
_________________ "The fatal flaw of all revolutionaries is that they know how to tear things down but don't have a f**king clue about how to build anything."
It would be ironic if killing global terrorist mastermind Soleimani united Shiite muslims only to have the subsequent plane shoot down redirect the fury to finally oust the ayatollahs
You know Trump will claim credit
Why would Trump claim the credit when guys like you will do it for him?
Post subject: Re: The War on Terror /Central Asia/Mid East/Africa thread
Posted: Sun January 12, 2020 3:36 am
NEVER STOP JAMMING!
Joined: Sun September 15, 2013 5:50 am Posts: 22195
feel so bad for the Iranian people
they don’t deserve a shithead theocrat ruining their society
a very intelligent people capable of much more
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Post subject: Re: The War on Terror /Central Asia/Mid East/Africa thread
Posted: Sun January 12, 2020 3:55 am
NEVER STOP JAMMING!
Joined: Sun September 15, 2013 5:50 am Posts: 22195
verb_to_trust wrote:
96583UP wrote:
feel so bad for the Iranian people
they don’t deserve a shithead theocrat ruining their society
a very intelligent people capable of much more
Sounds like we need to give them some freedom
it costs $1.05
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