The board's server will undergo upgrade maintenance tonight, Nov 5, 2014, beginning approximately around 10 PM ET. Prepare for some possible down time during this process.
_________________ "The fatal flaw of all revolutionaries is that they know how to tear things down but don't have a f**king clue about how to build anything."
Joined: Thu January 24, 2013 4:32 am Posts: 20872 Location: Surrounded by Wokes. Please send help.
Plucked the following from a recent conversation in the Economy thread.
I am about halfway through Brave New World and I agree with GH and Burt that it’s trending a more accurate book to make my point than 1984 was, and after getting as far as I have I would put it more in the “Whoa what the fuck is wrong with education” category than Economy. This could go in any given politics thread, too, I’m sure.
I’ll report back when I finish the book. And if there is a more relevant thread to move this to, fine by me. I’ll take a soma and accept this post’s fate.
4/5 wrote:
Rob wrote:
Bammer wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:
BurtReynolds wrote:
I've noticed lately that the narrative in rose emoji circles has shifted from "minimum wage hikes won't effect small businesses" to "fuck small businesses, they pay their employees less than giant corporations anyway".
There is a certain strategy there. The more people you force onto government benefits, the more likely they are to support increasing government benefits.
The strategy is pretty well detailed in a book called “1984” maybe you guys have heard of it?
It’s a great, great book, but I am always struck by the fact that the people who live in (basically) the only country that doesn’t even provide health insurance are the ones most afraid of this.
I love the book and am worried about a tendency towards actual socialism, but I don't see much of a connection between 1984 and social welfare programs. I think the book is much more relevant in contemporary discussions about the power of controlling language, thought, and history, though.
BurtReynolds wrote:
Green Habit wrote:
Neither are really excellent comparisons, but if we're considering mid-20th century dystopian novels I'd take Brave New World over 1984.
I think BNW is probably the more likely scenario. We're kinda there already.
Hooray for the return of prayer in Florida public schools!
_________________ "I want to see the whole picture--as nearly as I can. I don't want to put on the blinders of 'good and bad,' and limit my vision."-- In Dubious Battle
Hooray Hallelujah for the return of prayer in Florida public schools!
This is why they gave you a PhD.
_________________ "I want to see the whole picture--as nearly as I can. I don't want to put on the blinders of 'good and bad,' and limit my vision."-- In Dubious Battle
Hooray for the return of prayer in Florida public schools!
Do you think there's five votes on SCOTUS to overturn Wallace v. Jaffree?
You're a lot better at this sort of thing than me, but I'll play. Thomas and Alito are really good bets to do so. Based on what I know about her Barrett seems like an obvious vote as well, though we haven't really seen how she operates as a Justice yet. So I'll say there's 3 definite yes votes. I think Gorsuch could vote against this from a more libertarian-type position. Kavanaugh--I really don't know. I can make arguments both ways for him. He's Trumpier than Gorsuch so idk. Roberts...Idk. I still think he likes to save his nakedly conservative votes for things that matter and can shape policy in significant areas and he likes to vote more neutrally/liberally on stuff like this that don't really matter much in a broader way. In a way too early prediction I'd say that Roberts would uphold the law if the majority is striking it down and that he'd vote to strike down if the majority is upholding.
5-4 to strike down the Florida law/uphold Jaffree.
_________________ "I want to see the whole picture--as nearly as I can. I don't want to put on the blinders of 'good and bad,' and limit my vision."-- In Dubious Battle
Joined: Wed December 12, 2012 10:33 pm Posts: 6932
4/5 wrote:
Green Habit wrote:
4/5 wrote:
Hooray for the return of prayer in Florida public schools!
Do you think there's five votes on SCOTUS to overturn Wallace v. Jaffree?
You're a lot better at this sort of thing than me, but I'll play. Thomas and Alito are really good bets to do so. Based on what I know about her Barrett seems like an obvious vote as well, though we haven't really seen how she operates as a Justice yet. So I'll say there's 3 definite yes votes. I think Gorsuch could vote against this from a more libertarian-type position. Kavanaugh--I really don't know. I can make arguments both ways for him. He's Trumpier than Gorsuch so idk. Roberts...Idk. I still think he likes to save his nakedly conservative votes for things that matter and can shape policy in significant areas and he likes to vote more neutrally/liberally on stuff like this that don't really matter much in a broader way. In a way too early prediction I'd say that Roberts would uphold the law if the majority is striking it down and that he'd vote to strike down if the majority is upholding.
5-4 to strike down the Florida law/uphold Jaffree.
Your guess is as good as mine, and I think this sounds about right to me. My only quibble would be that I think Gorsuch will be more of a slam dunk to overrule Jaffree, with his state's rights libertarianism overriding his freedom of expression libertarianism here. I agree that Kavanaugh is the likely deciding vote here, and Roberts will go whatever way he does, something that I think he's going to do a lot to try to play the Warren Burger role of controlling who gets to write the opinion.
Anyway, it's pretty scary that we're seeing right wing governments passing laws that so blatantly and obviously violate existing Supreme Court precedent. But I'd certainly expect them to do so, no better time for them to strike than now.
Your guess is as good as mine, and I think this sounds about right to me. My only quibble would be that I think Gorsuch will be more of a slam dunk to overrule Jaffree, with his state's rights libertarianism overriding his freedom of expression libertarianism here. I agree that Kavanaugh is the likely deciding vote here, and Roberts will go whatever way he does, something that I think he's going to do a lot to try to play the Warren Burger role of controlling who gets to write the opinion.
Anyway, it's pretty scary that we're seeing right wing governments passing laws that so blatantly and obviously violate existing Supreme Court precedent. But I'd certainly expect them to do so, no better time for them to strike than now.
Yeah, see that was my dilemma. I forgot about Espinoza so I thought about his opinions in Bostock and the Native American/Oklahoma case and went with him being small government/individual rights libertarian. But after your post I just looked it up and he signed on to Thomas's extremely anti-Establishment clause concurrence in Espinoza. I think we may have talked about that last summer. So yeah I guess he could probably be counted upon to reverse Jaffree as well.
More broadly, the bolded is one of the toughest things for me to figure out about Justices sometimes since it often depends on the specific right in question or the setting. Clarence Thomas dissents in Gonzales v. Raich (good for him!) and Scalia votes to uphold. (Talking this out rn I guess Thomas is probably pretty consistent in the states' rights camp. In this case it might be me whose inconsistent since I like his opinion in Gonzales but think his establishment and school free speech opinions are absurd. He's consistently in favor of deferring to the state in each of those, I guess. Oh well.)
_________________ "I want to see the whole picture--as nearly as I can. I don't want to put on the blinders of 'good and bad,' and limit my vision."-- In Dubious Battle
Joined: Wed December 12, 2012 10:33 pm Posts: 6932
4/5 wrote:
More broadly, the bolded is one of the toughest things for me to figure out about Justices sometimes since it often depends on the specific right in question or the setting. Clarence Thomas dissents in Gonzales v. Raich (good for him!) and Scalia votes to uphold. (Talking this out rn I guess Thomas is probably pretty consistent in the states' rights camp. In this case it might be me whose inconsistent since I like his opinion in Gonzales but think his establishment and school free speech opinions are absurd. He's consistently in favor of deferring to the state in each of those, I guess. Oh well.)
Supreme Court justices, just like any other humans, can hold idiosyncratic views that don't abide by some doctrinaire holding to an ideology. In Scalia's case, he was notoriously anti-recreational drug (well, except for tobacco, of which he was a firm defender in his legal career and may have very well led to his earlier than anticipated demise). So in Raich you had him give an odd, nonsensical concurrence in the judgment because he couldn't bring himself to side with a cannabis user, while Thomas had no such qualms.
Keeping this in education, you saw the same bias strike again in Morse v. Frederick. Scalia joined onto an opinion among justices that clearly had a ridiculous hangup about teenagers talking about recreational drugs, while Thomas just ignored the subject matter altogether and simply said that minors don't have First Amendment rights at all (which is horrendous, of course, but is consistent with Thomas's jurisprudence).
It's funny you mention Espinoza though, because that reminds me that I might be on the verge of offering a fiery hot take in this thread, but I have to think through it more to decide whether I actually want to sign off on that fiery hot take, or just pose it as more of a devil's advocate argument.
I guess in about 3-5 years we will be able to better answer some of the question wrt education funding after this. When this was done in KC in the 90s the results were a massive failure but the advances in EdTech might help
_________________ "The fatal flaw of all revolutionaries is that they know how to tear things down but don't have a f**king clue about how to build anything."
Joined: Thu January 10, 2013 2:19 am Posts: 8899 Location: SOUTH PORTLAND
Bi_3 wrote:
I guess in about 3-5 years we will be able to better answer some of the question wrt education funding after this. When this was done in KC in the 90s the results were a massive failure but the advances in EdTech might help
Looks like it's mostly driven by an increase in mental health staff. Not the worst approach given everything going on these days, but with any education budget it's not just about how much is spent but where the money goes.
I guess in about 3-5 years we will be able to better answer some of the question wrt education funding after this. When this was done in KC in the 90s the results were a massive failure but the advances in EdTech might help
Looks like it's mostly driven by an increase in mental health staff. Not the worst approach given everything going on these days, but with any education budget it's not just about how much is spent but where the money goes.
That’s not necessarily a bad thing. Having councilors that can aid in customizing a students plan, like having IEPs for everyone, could really help kids
_________________ "The fatal flaw of all revolutionaries is that they know how to tear things down but don't have a f**king clue about how to build anything."
Joined: Thu January 10, 2013 2:19 am Posts: 8899 Location: SOUTH PORTLAND
Bi_3 wrote:
elliseamos wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:
I guess in about 3-5 years we will be able to better answer some of the question wrt education funding after this. When this was done in KC in the 90s the results were a massive failure but the advances in EdTech might help
Looks like it's mostly driven by an increase in mental health staff. Not the worst approach given everything going on these days, but with any education budget it's not just about how much is spent but where the money goes.
That’s not necessarily a bad thing. Having councilors that can aid in customizing a students plan, like having IEPs for everyone, could really help kids
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 70 guests
You cannot post new topics in this forum You cannot reply to topics in this forum You cannot edit your posts in this forum You cannot delete your posts in this forum