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A lot more misses than makes so far. There's a bunch of election-related predictions that will be coming due in the next few days so there should be handful of hits about to come through.
There are a few predictions that I'm either not familiar with or I'm not sure how we judge it. Like, was the wall funded by 2020? 371 miles of wall have been built, though most of that is replacing old walls/fencing. Idk how to judge this one.
Not sure how to judge trag's: "States will reopen out of economic necessity/lack of Federal support. Distancing and the ability to work from home will become a pleasure of the haves, while illness and death will become the reality for have-nots (and the ignorant and stupid)." The spirit of this feels right, but it's not as quantifiable as other predictions.
Argo, 4/5, Green Habit, 96583UP all have 1 correct prediction. Argo and Mickey both have 1/2 a right prediction, but missed on the main idea of the prediction. Simple Torture missed with his overly precise prediction of RBG's death, but the spirit of his prediction was sadly right on.
Also gonna get some work done. Anybody know if Trag's prediction about mass shootings was right?
_________________ "I want to see the whole picture--as nearly as I can. I don't want to put on the blinders of 'good and bad,' and limit my vision."-- In Dubious Battle
Joined: Wed January 02, 2013 6:02 am Posts: 9712 Location: Tristes Tropiques
I think trag's reopening prediction is essentially right.
_________________
VinylGuy wrote:
its really tiresome to see these ¨good guys¨ talking about any political stuff in tv while also being kinda funny and hip and cool....its just...please enough of this shit.
_________________ "I want to see the whole picture--as nearly as I can. I don't want to put on the blinders of 'good and bad,' and limit my vision."-- In Dubious Battle
don't forget my civil war prediction..i have may got the date wrong but......
I have your civil war after the election prediction in there. You had mentioned it a couple times before without a time frame I think.
Enjoy surfing Vancouver!
_________________ "I want to see the whole picture--as nearly as I can. I don't want to put on the blinders of 'good and bad,' and limit my vision."-- In Dubious Battle
Joined: Wed January 02, 2013 6:02 am Posts: 9712 Location: Tristes Tropiques
Mickey wrote:
Mickey wrote:
Putting it here. Biden is going to lose by more than 77 electoral college votes.
Mickey wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:
bart wrote:
Yeah things were looking pretty dodgy for Biden before coronovirus, couple more weeks and Bernie would have had him I’m sure
Bernie is by far the most pro-Trump reelection politician in DC.
There's a prediction thread so maybe I should put it there, but here goes: Biden is going to lose to Trump by a wider electoral college margin than Hillary did.
In my defense I could not have imagined a COVID response this inept, but I'm definitely going to eat shit on this one.
If you think about it, I was technically correct to predict that my previous prediction would be wrong.
_________________
VinylGuy wrote:
its really tiresome to see these ¨good guys¨ talking about any political stuff in tv while also being kinda funny and hip and cool....its just...please enough of this shit.
Putting it here. Biden is going to lose by more than 77 electoral college votes.
Mickey wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:
bart wrote:
Yeah things were looking pretty dodgy for Biden before coronovirus, couple more weeks and Bernie would have had him I’m sure
Bernie is by far the most pro-Trump reelection politician in DC.
There's a prediction thread so maybe I should put it there, but here goes: Biden is going to lose to Trump by a wider electoral college margin than Hillary did.
In my defense I could not have imagined a COVID response this inept, but I'm definitely going to eat shit on this one.
If you think about it, I was technically correct to predict that my previous prediction would be wrong.
Putting it here. Biden is going to lose by more than 77 electoral college votes.
Mickey wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:
bart wrote:
Yeah things were looking pretty dodgy for Biden before coronovirus, couple more weeks and Bernie would have had him I’m sure
Bernie is by far the most pro-Trump reelection politician in DC.
There's a prediction thread so maybe I should put it there, but here goes: Biden is going to lose to Trump by a wider electoral college margin than Hillary did.
In my defense I could not have imagined a COVID response this inept, but I'm definitely going to eat shit on this one.
If you think about it, I was technically correct to predict that my previous prediction would be wrong.
Mickey: (some time after 4/8/20) I'm definitely going to eat shit on this one.
_________________ "I want to see the whole picture--as nearly as I can. I don't want to put on the blinders of 'good and bad,' and limit my vision."-- In Dubious Battle
Joined: Wed January 02, 2013 6:02 am Posts: 9712 Location: Tristes Tropiques
I would say yes but you have to pick one of the wildfires, it can't be ALL FIRES anymore than it can be ALL HURRICANES
_________________
VinylGuy wrote:
its really tiresome to see these ¨good guys¨ talking about any political stuff in tv while also being kinda funny and hip and cool....its just...please enough of this shit.
Joined: Wed January 02, 2013 6:02 am Posts: 9712 Location: Tristes Tropiques
Dems lose the presidency in 2024.
_________________
VinylGuy wrote:
its really tiresome to see these ¨good guys¨ talking about any political stuff in tv while also being kinda funny and hip and cool....its just...please enough of this shit.
Joined: Wed January 02, 2013 6:02 am Posts: 9712 Location: Tristes Tropiques
Fuck now I gotta keep posting here for four more years to prove that I'm right.
_________________
VinylGuy wrote:
its really tiresome to see these ¨good guys¨ talking about any political stuff in tv while also being kinda funny and hip and cool....its just...please enough of this shit.
Joined: Wed January 02, 2013 6:02 am Posts: 9712 Location: Tristes Tropiques
In my mind, incumbent would include a VP who has assumed the presidency, but would not include a primary challenger.
_________________
VinylGuy wrote:
its really tiresome to see these ¨good guys¨ talking about any political stuff in tv while also being kinda funny and hip and cool....its just...please enough of this shit.
Joined: Wed January 02, 2013 6:02 am Posts: 9712 Location: Tristes Tropiques
What are the rules on that? If Biden just plans to step down after his term, would Kamala have to win a primary?
_________________
VinylGuy wrote:
its really tiresome to see these ¨good guys¨ talking about any political stuff in tv while also being kinda funny and hip and cool....its just...please enough of this shit.
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