No candidate will win the nomination on the first ballot at the DNC.

Within the next two presidential elections Texas will flip blue.

Trump survives impeachment in the Senate and ekes out a narrow victory in 2020, despite TX flipping blue. Just after he renews his oath of office, and as civil war in China takes hold, a new bombshell scandal involving Kushner and the Saudis comes to light, as the market simultaneously crashes into full-on recession.

Trump dies of stress-related causes; the Newsweek photo shows Melania and Pence standing over the flag-draped casket with the headline “Now What?”.

Also we find out Baron is a robot sent back from the future to kill Adam Schiff.

Honestly not the worst timeline imaginable.

I'd be really surprised if Trump serves out the remainder of 2019.

I believe Trump is finished at this point. Republicans are likely already shitting their pants behind the scenes, and I think it's only a matter of time before they shed the albatross and hope to have any shot come election time. So I think they would like to put this behind them as soon as possible. Resignation and pardons is going to be the only card they'll have to play that may sway Trump to resign. I think you'll see a group of Trump "allies" basically stage an intervention and lay it all out for him. That group will undoubtedly contain Mitch McConnell, Lindsay Graham, Pompeo, Sean Hannity, Mick Mulvaney, Ivanka & Jared, Mnuchin, and Pence. Rudy will not be present. He'll be trying to get out from under the bus he'll be thrown under.

Pence becomes president before he gets sucked into this any further and will attempt to soothe us back into civility by saying that pardoning Trump was the right thing to do to "begin the healing that this country so desperately need." If given long enough as president before the next election, and given how stupid people are, he could be very dangerous as a candidate.

If Trump is on the ballot in 2020, he will lose the popular vote by more than 8 million votes.

You sweating, 4/5?

Changed my mind; see below.

It doesn’t count if you predict it while it’s happening.

Yeah I was pretty cheap with that one.

McP has shamed me into being more specific about my prediction:

RBG will die on 2/13/20, exactly four years after Scalia. A replacement will be confirmed by the Senate before the Ides of March.

I predict that every 3rd day for the rest of my life I will wake up before 5am for no Goddamn reason

Bloomberg won't drop out for a long time--maybe not until the convention itself--but he also won't win a single primary state.

R.I.P. this prediction.

I didn’t realize I was in N&D when I posted that above.

Sometimes a loss feels like a win.

(Go Dolphins.)

Do I get some green text for my one and only prediction on SCOTUS that I (sadly) nailed?

Someday we will learn what was behind this cluster of resignations, and be amazed at the scope of impeachable behavior he was engaging in even while he was being impeached.

I mean

maybe was asking other countries to investigate other people too