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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Mon October 15, 2018 10:53 pm 
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tragabigzanda wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:
Have we really descended into making group identity so important that we are fighting over what genetic threshold is required to claim membership?

seems reasonable given their journey to date


I'm caught up on this now. Warren is a very smart, very capable individual who should know better than to do dumb shit like this. And right when the big "Harvard discriminates against Asians" case is in play. The only good that comes out of this is the hope that liberals (obviously not progressives, they are far too gone at this point) realize how insectionality will lead to genocide so it's time to stop identity politics

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Mon October 15, 2018 10:54 pm 
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tell me the story behind that golf club


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Mon October 15, 2018 10:58 pm 
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doug rr wrote:
tell me the story behind that golf club

In the pic? I haven't played golf in years, but I bought a cheap driver to go wack some balls at the driving range to relieve stress.

I just found it again when I moved. I need to start back.

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Mon October 15, 2018 11:05 pm 
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she is baiting him

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Mon October 15, 2018 11:48 pm 
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96583UP wrote:
she is baiting him


To do what? Say something dumb? Tweet some thinly veiled bigotry? It doesn’t matter to anyone any more. No one is on the fence about Trump and there is only the downside that comes from beating that dead horse

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Kaius wrote:
I really hope we get this figured out soon


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Mon October 15, 2018 11:53 pm 
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The Dems will be lucky to take the House.


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Tue October 16, 2018 1:15 am 
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Bi_3 wrote:
96583UP wrote:
she is baiting him


To do what? Say something dumb? Tweet some thinly veiled bigotry? It doesn’t matter to anyone any more. No one is on the fence about Trump and there is only the downside that comes from beating that dead horse


yes, before the midterms

it does matter. don't forget that Trump lost the general election. in a low turnout year

now they just need to harness his hate and bait him into attacking a black

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Tue October 16, 2018 3:10 pm 
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bart wrote:
The Dems will be lucky to take the House.

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed October 17, 2018 1:29 am 
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nate silver has the odds at 80% methinks

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed October 17, 2018 1:30 am 
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but that's moot bc this is the Election 2020 thread

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed October 17, 2018 1:32 am 
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Bloomberg really would be the best president

problem is I just don't see the lefties rallying to him until the very end

but he would probably carry Florida

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed October 17, 2018 1:51 am 
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For the record, my kid will not be claiming Indian heritage based on his DNA.

Image

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed October 17, 2018 3:00 am 
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i dunno, lots of pakis in the UK

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed October 17, 2018 3:25 am 
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96583UP wrote:
nate silver has the odds at 80% methinks

Great, another Silver fanboy in N&D.


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed October 17, 2018 1:27 pm 
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run2death wrote:
96583UP wrote:
nate silver has the odds at 80% methinks

Great, another Silver fanboy in N&D.

Didn't you follow Silver and 538 in 2016?

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed October 17, 2018 3:19 pm 
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4/5 wrote:
run2death wrote:
96583UP wrote:
nate silver has the odds at 80% methinks

Great, another Silver fanboy in N&D.

Didn't you follow Silver and 538 in 2016?

Of course, but I didn't suckle at his teat like most of the people in that thread.

It was clear to me that something unprecedented was going on and I became really annoyed with how Silver just kept beating his "history shows us" drum without taking into account the CURRENT political climate and trends.


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed October 17, 2018 4:33 pm 
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run2death wrote:
4/5 wrote:
run2death wrote:
96583UP wrote:
nate silver has the odds at 80% methinks

Great, another Silver fanboy in N&D.

Didn't you follow Silver and 538 in 2016?

Of course, but I didn't suckle at his teat like most of the people in that thread.

It was clear to me that something unprecedented was going on and I became really annoyed with how Silver just kept beating his "history shows us" drum without taking into account the CURRENT political climate and trends.

He did that A LOT before the primaries and even into the primaries for a time but I felt like he mostly came off that after the first few primaries and adapted to the current climate. In the general election his models were much more favorable to Trump than other similar poll-aggregating models. I think he rightfully gets criticized for his predictions of the primaries, which were largely based on norms and not statistics, essentially rendering him just another talking head, but he did fairly well on the general election given the limitations of only being able to use the results of pollsters who didn't have their finest moment.

Idk if that makes me a fanboy. *Shrugs*

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed October 17, 2018 10:52 pm 
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run2death wrote:
96583UP wrote:
nate silver has the odds at 80% methinks

Great, another Silver fanboy in N&D.

nope, just providing a contrasting viewpoint that i read

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Fri October 19, 2018 6:37 pm 
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run2death wrote:
--- wrote:
Leaving aside her appalling willingness to trade on fraudulent Indian heritage claims, she's a populist know-nothing of the Bernie Sanders sort. There is nothing new in the majority of her bad ideas.

But being a female is qualification enough these days, I suppose.


How'd this work out for you?

Not ignoring this, just been busy this week. I owe you a response.


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Fri October 19, 2018 7:27 pm 
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:lol:

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