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Vote Before You Can Vote!
Donald Trump (R) 44%  44%  [ 59 ]
Joe Biden (D) 41%  41%  [ 55 ]
Jacob Hornberger (L) 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
Howie Hawkins (G) 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
Other 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
COVID-19 12%  12%  [ 16 ]
Total votes : 133
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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed July 15, 2020 3:33 am 
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Sessions lost his race. What an asshole that guy is.


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed July 15, 2020 4:01 am 
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Alabama does what their daddy tells them to.

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed July 15, 2020 4:14 am 
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tragabigzanda wrote:
Sessions lost his race. What an asshole that guy is.


Lmao incredible.

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VinylGuy wrote:
its really tiresome to see these ¨good guys¨ talking about any political stuff in tv while also being kinda funny and hip and cool....its just...please enough of this shit.


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed July 15, 2020 4:21 am 
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Quote:
Sessions also said in his remarks that he holds his "head high."

"I leave elective office with my integrity intact. I feel good about it, I hold my head high," he said. "I took the road less traveled, didn't try to excuse myself or get in a fight or undermine the leader of our country, and the great work he has to do. That was an honorable path, I believe."


:haha:

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed July 15, 2020 5:05 am 
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Probably as good a time as any to note that Tommy Tuberville is a dogshit college football coach.

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VinylGuy wrote:
its really tiresome to see these ¨good guys¨ talking about any political stuff in tv while also being kinda funny and hip and cool....its just...please enough of this shit.


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed July 15, 2020 7:37 am 
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Kanye dropped out :(

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed July 15, 2020 8:38 am 
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On a positive note, I got to vote for Mike Siegel in the Texas house primary this week. His kid went to my school and I got to know him a little bit, really nice guy with good policies.

We also got a new DA in Austin who's dedicated to a lot of reform, Jose Garza. I have high hopes for both.


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed July 15, 2020 3:11 pm 
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Yay political leaders!!!

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed July 15, 2020 7:50 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed July 15, 2020 8:11 pm 
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He's still not as low as Bush and Bush got reelected somehow

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed July 15, 2020 8:44 pm 
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JuanHamm wrote:
He's still not as low as Bush and Bush got reelected somehow

W was in the 40s around the 2004 election:

Image

Trump is still above 40% on average, but just barely: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/tr ... id=rrpromo

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McParadigm wrote:
lol


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed July 15, 2020 8:46 pm 
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Simple Torture wrote:
JuanHamm wrote:
He's still not as low as Bush and Bush got reelected somehow

W was in the 40s around the 2004 election:

Image

Trump is still above 40% on average, but just barely: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/tr ... id=rrpromo


That's good to know. I just have this horrible feeling he'll get reelected.

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed July 15, 2020 8:52 pm 
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JuanHamm wrote:
He's still not as low as Bush and Bush got reelected somehow

Using rolling 7 day rolling poll averages in the nine months leading up to the election:

Bush’s polling low point vs Kerry: down by 3 points
Bush’s average polling status vs Kerry: ahead by 2
Percent of time spent ahead in the polls: >55%

Trump’s polling low point vs Biden (to date): down by 10 points
Trump’s average polling status vs Biden: down by 7
Percent of time spent ahead in the polls (to date): 0%

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Wed July 15, 2020 11:56 pm 
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McParadigm wrote:
JuanHamm wrote:
He's still not as low as Bush and Bush got reelected somehow

Using rolling 7 day rolling poll averages in the nine months leading up to the election:

Bush’s polling low point vs Kerry: down by 3 points
Bush’s average polling status vs Kerry: ahead by 2
Percent of time spent ahead in the polls: >55%

Trump’s polling low point vs Biden (to date): down by 10 points
Trump’s average polling status vs Biden: down by 7
Percent of time spent ahead in the polls (to date): 0%

Keep going I'm almost there...


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Thu July 16, 2020 12:07 am 
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It's going to be a lot closer than people think. Polls are dumb as shit and a lot of people will vote for Trump who would never admit it to anyone, not even themselves.

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Thu July 16, 2020 12:08 am 
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elliseamos wrote:
McParadigm wrote:
JuanHamm wrote:
He's still not as low as Bush and Bush got reelected somehow

Using rolling 7 day rolling poll averages in the nine months leading up to the election:

Bush’s polling low point vs Kerry: down by 3 points
Bush’s average polling status vs Kerry: ahead by 2
Percent of time spent ahead in the polls: >55%

Trump’s polling low point vs Biden (to date): down by 10 points
Trump’s average polling status vs Biden: down by 7
Percent of time spent ahead in the polls (to date): 0%

Keep going I'm almost there...

If the last few years have taught us anything, it's the reliability of polling.

Uh.


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Thu July 16, 2020 12:54 am 
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Birds in Hell wrote:
elliseamos wrote:
McParadigm wrote:
JuanHamm wrote:
He's still not as low as Bush and Bush got reelected somehow

Using rolling 7 day rolling poll averages in the nine months leading up to the election:

Bush’s polling low point vs Kerry: down by 3 points
Bush’s average polling status vs Kerry: ahead by 2
Percent of time spent ahead in the polls: >55%

Trump’s polling low point vs Biden (to date): down by 10 points
Trump’s average polling status vs Biden: down by 7
Percent of time spent ahead in the polls (to date): 0%

Keep going I'm almost there...

If the last few years have taught us anything, it's the reliability of polling.

Uh.

That’s correct. Collectively, the polling has been steadily reflective of the vote.

Quote:
It's going to be a lot closer than people think. Polls are dumb as shit and a lot of people will vote for Trump who would never admit it to anyone, not even themselves.

The “secretly pro-Trump folks that will definitely go out and vote for him during a pandemic” crowd must have been the only group of people in the entirety of America who couldn’t be bothered to turn out for the 2018 midterms. That’s odd.

What makes it particularly strange is that the President they will definitely turn out for ran around the country for months, begging them to turn out for him and telling them his presidency was threatened if they didn’t.

I mean every other group in America showed up in record numbers, making it the highest percentage turnout in a hundred years. Just that one group of very secret people who definitely exist in numbers that would redefine this race didn’t show up. So weird.

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Thu July 16, 2020 1:13 am 
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It will definitely be an abnormally rough year for polling (which has been within about 3 percent of the final vote on average for the last few decades, including 2018), in part because places without vote by mail and especially those communities with reduced polling stations will have tremendous turnout issues. It’s a pandemic.

There will be less of a sense of safety, trust, and community going in than in any other election we’ve been through. There will probably be an historic amount of intimidation efforts on display. And none of us knows what might happen to affect polling in the coming months. But there isn’t a magic 10...or 5....percent secret bonus of voters on either side, anywhere.

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Thu July 16, 2020 1:32 am 
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Hilary was supposed to win easily.

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2020
PostPosted: Thu July 16, 2020 1:33 am 
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