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 Post subject: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Story
PostPosted: Thu April 26, 2018 2:39 pm 
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Let's do it, why the fuck not: it's the 4th annual Guess the Opening Weekend Gross for the latest Star Wars movie. Last year, we had 22 people join in to guess the opening weekend total for The Last Jedi. We're about a month out from Solo, so let's get this going.

Here are the rules and guidelines from last year:

1. You'e guessing the opening weekend gross (Thursday through Sunday, May 24th-27th) of Solo: A Star Wars Story in the U.S. only.
2. Your guess should be rendered in whole-numbered millions only. So $100m is okay, so is $101m, so is $247m--but you can't guess any further digits (i.e., $100,500,700) and you can't guess halves or cents (so $105.5m is a no-go).
3. We're going to wait until final numbers come out after the end of the weekend--quite frequently, there will be an estimate put out on Sunday morning, but we're going to wait for the final numbers (people never fucking understand this), which usually come late Monday/early Tuesday. Note: Monday is a holiday in the US so lots of sites/publications will quote the weekend as including Monday, but we won't for out purposes.
4. We're going to be using numbers from boxofficemojo.com
5. There are no prizes; you just get to gloat and know that you are better than anyone else.

Previous Champions:
2017 - durdencommatyler was closest ever, less than $1m off The Last Jedi's total ($220m) (post)
2016 - daft twat was closest at around $8m from Rogue One's total (which was $155m) (post)
2015 - zeb was only $2m off with his guess for Episode VII's opening gross (which was $247m) (post)

Here are some numbers as guides; I'll add Avengers next week, as I'm sure it'll hop in:

Quote:
2018 Top Opening Weekends

1. Avengers: Infinity War $257m
2. Black Panther $202m
3. A Quiet Place $50m
4. Ready Player One $41m
5. Fifty Shades Freed $38m


Quote:
Top 10 Opening Weekends of All-Time

1. Avengers: Infinity War $257m
2. The Force Awakens - $247m
3. The Last Jedi - $220m
4. Jurassic World - $208m
5. The Avengers - $207m
6. Black Panther - $202m
7. The Avengers: Age of Ultron - $191m
8. Captain America: Civil War - $179m
9. Beauty and the Beast - $174m
10. Iron Man III - $174m


Quote:
Star Wars Opening Weekends
1. The Force Awakens - $247m
2. The Last Jedi - $220m
3. Rogue One - $155m
4. Revenge of the Sith - $108m
5. Attack of the Clones - $80m
6. The Phantom Menace - $64m
7. Return of the Jedi - $23m
7. The Empire Strikes Back - $7m
8. Star Wars - $1m (lol)

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McParadigm wrote:
lol


Last edited by Simple Torture on Tue May 01, 2018 1:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Thu April 26, 2018 2:39 pm 
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Guesses so far:

blueviper - $168m
durds - $148m
dime - $137m
daft twat - $130m
chud - $126m
Simple Torture - $125m
wease - $123m
anders - $112m
Coach - $110m
LV - $104m
LMS - $102m
Argo - $97m
Sarge - $90m
VinylGuy - $50m
burt - $3m
bada - $1m

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McParadigm wrote:
lol


Last edited by Simple Torture on Tue May 22, 2018 1:33 am, edited 9 times in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Thu April 26, 2018 3:00 pm 
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I think the second weekend will see it make more money than it’s first weekend. There’s nothing cool coming out against it that second week. And if word of mouth is good it’ll see an upswing. But I’m gonna say 137 opening weekend.

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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Thu April 26, 2018 3:31 pm 
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50 million?

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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Thu April 26, 2018 3:34 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Thu April 26, 2018 7:48 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Thu April 26, 2018 8:19 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Thu April 26, 2018 10:23 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Thu April 26, 2018 10:31 pm 
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126m


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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Thu April 26, 2018 10:52 pm 
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cutuphalfdead wrote:
126m


Hey, GFY

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McParadigm wrote:
lol


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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Thu April 26, 2018 10:54 pm 
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Simple Torture wrote:
cutuphalfdead wrote:
126m


Hey, GFY

8-)


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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Fri April 27, 2018 1:57 pm 
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168 million

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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Fri April 27, 2018 3:56 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Sat April 28, 2018 1:21 am 
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$110 million

Huge benefit from a May release.


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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Sat April 28, 2018 1:22 am 
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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Sat April 28, 2018 1:59 am 
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BurtReynolds wrote:
300 bitcoins


Rounded that to $3m for you.

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McParadigm wrote:
lol


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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Sat April 28, 2018 2:01 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Sat April 28, 2018 2:02 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Sun April 29, 2018 4:57 pm 
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Considering the projections for the Avengers this weekend (in the $240m range) another fun handicap would be if you think Solo can get even half as much. Looks like about half of us think yes, half no.

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McParadigm wrote:
lol


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 Post subject: Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Solo: A Star Wars Stor
PostPosted: Sun April 29, 2018 5:00 pm 
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Simple Torture wrote:
Considering the projections for the Avengers this weekend (in the $240m range) another fun handicap would be if you think Solo can get even half as much. Looks like about half of us think yes, half no.


Actually--even with official numbers pending--Avengers may have taken down TFA: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4393&p=.htm

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McParadigm wrote:
lol


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